Below are the charts created from this analysis:
The following points can be noted:
- Labour has picked up support solidly since about the 10th December
- This period was when the Liberal Democrat support declined. However, around 4 days ago this trend was reversing, and they began to pick up support.
- From late December, early January, Conservative support has been falling.
- As the Labour support has grown solidly and Conservative support has consistently fallen, it is fair to suggest the rise in Liberal Democrat support has probably come from the Conservatives.
The economic policies of the Coalition are very clearly Conservative, and the Nick Clegg shield will not protect Mr Cameron and Mr Osborne.
As Conservative supporters will probably not vote Labour, perhaps some centre-right Coalition supporters who are unhappy may drift to the Liberal Democrats, and the right to UKIP.
This weeks YouGov data will prove interesting.